Weekly outlook
AUD/USD Forecast This Week (Week of Nov 9, 2026)
BiasForge's macro read going into the week
NeutralUpdated Monday, November 9, 2026
This read can change during the week as data lands.
Bias may have changed since Monday. Live bias + invalidation levels in BiasForge Pro →
This week's outlook is being updated. The macro drivers below still apply; the new read goes up before the week opens.
Why
- Interest-rate differentials favour the Australian dollar.
- Futures positioning (CFTC COT data) and risk sentiment favour the US dollar.
- With the drivers pulling in opposite directions, there is no clear lean going into the week.
Events that can move AUD/USD this week
| Date (UTC) | Time (UTC) | Currency | Event |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Nov 10 | 13:30 | USD | US inflation (CPI) |
| Fri, Nov 13 | 13:30 | USD | US producer prices (PPI) |
What drives AUD/USD
AUD/USD is a risk-sensitive pair: the Australian dollar tends to rise when global growth and risk appetite improve and fall when markets turn defensive. China matters because it is Australia's largest export market, and commodity prices such as iron ore feed into the currency. The gap between RBA and Fed rate expectations sets the bigger trend. Australian jobs and inflation data, RBA meetings and the major US releases are the main catalysts.
Daily bias with invalidation levels is in BiasForge →
More weekly outlooks
- Gold outlook
- EUR/USD outlook
- GBP/USD outlook
- USD/JPY outlook
- USD/CAD outlook
- NZD/USD outlook
- USD/CHF outlook
- All instruments
Event playbooks: How to trade CPI · How to trade NFP · How to trade FOMC · How to trade Core PCE · How to trade a rate decision. New to this? Read what market bias is.
Direction. Not Signals. Educational macro analysis, not financial advice.